Inform, news junkies dream

I just got off the phone with Julian Steinberg of Inform.com. They just released the first version of their news portal. Think Google News on steroids. Shows news from around the Internet, and lets you build your own channels, add your own sources, and remix the news in a number of different ways. The only weakness I saw is that they don’t yet have many blogs (only the top 100 are in there so far) and adding your own sources isn’t straightforward (I’d like to import my OPML file with my own news sources).

But, it earns a place on my favorites. I’ll watch it for a few days to see how it compares to MSN, Google, and Yahoo’s news pages.

The non-GYM plan

I’m going to try to get back to talking about non-GYM (Google/Yahoo/Microsoft) sites — even my coworkers were saying that my writing was more interesting when I did that. But, let’s just get the Xbox stuff out of the way. Michael Gartenberg has some, including a link to the controversial “guns” commercial that the team decided not to run on TV. Memeorandum has the rest. My college friend Nick Paredes says “The game itself was phenomenal. You could see the sweat on the players faces. The graphics were so incredible it was like watching a real football game.”

On other Microsoft stuff. Christopher Byrne defends Microsoft against a new book named Phishing Exposed.

SQL Down Under has a podcast with A.C.M. Turing Award winner and Microsoft Distinguished engineer Dr Jim Gray discussing the Future of SQL Server.

Sam Ramji of Microsoft’s Emerging Business Team interviewed me about what I see happening in Enterprise Mash-ups. Of course, that got Harry Pierson, an architect at Microsoft, to say “I hate the term mashup.”
Oh, heck, since I’m pimping myself out here, let’s put in a couple of book things too.

Lance Dutson, of Maine Web Report, just gave us a glowing review and Tom Raftery interviewed Shel Israel, my co-author on our book. Shel’s a lot more interesting than I am. He’s been a Silicon Valley startup/PR guy for decades. Helped get Creative Labs, Napster, and now Riya off the ground.

#69: Jeremy Pepper on Web 2.0 bubble

Ahh, the bubbling keeps on happening, this time Jeremy Pepper asks questions about the Web 2.0 exuberance. Heck, let’s just call it a bubble, OK? Last time I called something a bubble (the Silicon Valley housing market) the prices just kept going straight up (the Mercury News now reports that the median price of a home in Santa Clara is more than $700,000 — when I lived there three years ago it was less than $500,000).

So, let’s call it a bubble. Let’s throw wild, exuberant, parties and have wild wild fun.

Heh.

The TechCrunch style of party isn’t anything like the Industry Standard party. Heck, it isn’t even close to the shindig we throw at the PDC every year where we take over Universal Studios. Now THAT is a party!

Update: I’m really sorry for misspelling Jeremy’s name.

Is Web 2.0 a Bubble?

OK, so I took most of the day off. I had a nap. Let the week all soak in. And I asked myself “if Bill Gates gave me $200 million, what would I buy?”

I kept thinking of three companies: NewsGator and either VoiceStar and Ingenio. Well, four, if you include WordPress, but Matt Mullenweg told me he’d never sell to a bigger company so I’m not gonna put him on the list. :-)

I can just hear Steve Gillmor’s voice now: “get off of the NewsGator kick.”

But, here’s my thinking. Almost every Web 2.0 company points out their RSS strategy to me. And, then they show me their Windows computer and it either has FeedDemon loaded on it, or NewsGator’s Outlook client. If they are a Mac user (a large portion of Web 2.0’s developers are) they almost certainly are running NetNewsWire.

Aside: I hate the name “Web 2.0.” The Web has been through at least 10 iterations since 1994. I prefer something a little more confusing like “Higher Definition Web.” But, heck, Web 2.0 is confusing enough — what does it really mean?

So, let me get this right. NewsGator owns all those RSS aggregators and has the only sync story between all those clients.

Why hasn’t Microsoft bought this yet?

I think it’s a big frog to swallow. Microsoft runs internally like 100 separate companies. NewsGator would need to make at least four of those companies interested in order to have a chance of success. That’s going to be very tough. I assume Yahoo and Google have the same “we can’t swallow that” kind of resistance too, which is why other things are being acquired first.

There’s also the branding problem that NewsGator has — lots of people think it’s only an Outlook client. They are TOTALLY WRONG. Greg Reinacker has a problem, though. It took him more than a year to convince me that NewsGator was more than an Outlook client.

But think of the forcing function NewsGator would have if overlaid on top of Microsoft. It would bootstrap all sorts of teams into building an RSS sync story that would simply be very powerful. It would require all parties going into this with their eyes open, which is why I’m talking in public about it. Imagine if our M&A team would do all their work out in public? Wouldn’t that be a trip? Wouldn’t that increase trust in Microsoft big time? And, wouldn’t that increase the chances that such an acquisition would be successful?

Anyway, onto VoiceStar and Ingenio. The fact that these two are just hanging out there and haven’t been picked up by GY or M is just amazing to me. It’s like seeing $1 billion lying in the street waiting for someone to pick it up.

Which gets me onto the point of this post. Is Web 2.0 a bubble?

Not when there are companies like these two that haven’t been picked up yet.

Not when Google’s advertising revenue and profit lines look steeper than KT-22’s ski slope at Squaw Valley (trust me, it’s steep).

Not when Adobe and Yahoo are working together to make a higher definition Web.

Not when there are billions in VC’s chasing a small number of ideas.

Not when companies like Meetro are so capital constrained that they are all living and working in one house in Palo Alto.

Not when Wifi networks are springing up faster than they are making lattes. Heck, why don’t you ask a trucker about how deep these societal changes are? And Wimax is coming. Wimax is coming. Wimax is coming.

That doesn’t mean that everyone in this industry will succeed. Most of the ideas I’ve seen so far will hit the dustbin within five years. That’s the entrepreneur’s risk. Even the three companies I point out above aren’t guaranteed success. Someone might come along tomorrow with a system that just blows all of these away.

But, I feel like I was Steve Jobs and I just took a tour through Xerox PARC in 1981. I’ve seen the future and I can’t wait for everyone else to see it too.

If you were in charge of Mergers and Acquisitions at a GYM (or A or E) what would you buy and why? Or, would you just put the $100 million back in your pocket and walk away?

PS, I won’t count this as a non-GYM post, even though it really isn’t about GYM.

Update: Shel Israel, my co-author, blogged a recent RSS panel discussion that had both Greg Reinacker and Matt Mullenweg on it.

Update 2: I’m not the only one asking if Web 2.0 is a Bubble. Here’s Om Malik of Business 2.0 magazine asking the same thing.

#57: Morgan reports from Under the Wire conference

Morgan McLintic, PR guy in Silicon Valley, reports on the Under the Wire conference that happened earlier this week where 30+ startups presented what they’re doing to an audience of influentials and VCs. Dave Rosenberg, InfoWorld’s Open Source guy, reports on hanging out with me in the cafeteria. “I feared holy water and cries of “Infidel” but my open source leanings were hidden underneath my Butterfly suit.” Heheh. Thanks for the kind words Dave!

I’m off to hang out with Patrick and Maryam. Busy week ahead as we prepare for Europe.

#54: Another phone-based advertising platform: Voicestar

I’m working backward through my day. It’s been quite a day with quite a diverse set of businesses crossing in front of me.

While I was hanging out in the cafeteria, Ari Jacoby, president of VoiceStar called me up. Remember Ingenio from the other day? Well, VoiceStar does a lot of that, but Ari claims his cost per signup is a lot cheaper. He also showed me features that I didn’t remember Ingenio showing me (things like you could record each incoming call).

Let me back up first. VoiceStar has an advertising platform. Let’s say you go to Yelp.com and search for Sushi in San Francisco, like this. See the ad at the top of the page? The one with the phone number? Well, if you called that number you would have kicked a few bucks over to the person/company that owns the Website you’re on.

Now, I don’t know how to validate their claims, but clearly these two companies are going to be interesting to watch as the online advertising world gets built out.